Nèdeem Elmahjoub's blog

The origins, nature, and trajectory of the crisis

According to a leading liberal, new Keynesian economist, “The next crisis will not be like its predecessors. In the 1970s, we had stagflation but no massive debt crises, because debt levels were low. After 2008, we had a debt crisis followed by low inflation or deflation, because the credit crunch had generated a negative demand shock. Today, we face supply shocks in a context of much higher debt levels, implying that we are heading for a combination of 1970s-style stagflation and 2008-style debt crises – that is, a stagflationary debt crisis.”

A social-democratic view. The pandemic-induced global slump is just part of a 20-year financial crisis